BV - The Front Runner Formula » Powered by ThriveCart

Momentum is everything in racing. A horse that can dominate from the front isn’t just running; it’s dictating the pace, forcing the rest of the field to play catch-up. And when conditions align; the right class, field size, distance, and going the front-runner advantage becomes even sharper.

The Front Runner Formula distills these patterns into a clear, rule-based approach. No guesswork. No endless hours of second-guessing trainers and tipsters. Just a methodical system designed to put you on the horses that do the most winning.

When you download your PDF, you’ll discover how to apply this system in minutes. Michael Sturgess has condensed years of form reading and pace study into a set of simple guidelines that filter out the noise and highlight the runners most likely to control the race. You’ll see exactly which types of races to target, how to read pace profiles at a glance, and why certain odds ranges offer the best strike rate and value.

To make it even easier, you’ll also receive a “Quick Glance Cheat Sheet” that shows you, in seconds, whether a race qualifies for the system. With this, you’ll know immediately if the front-runner edge is in play or if it’s a race best left alone.

The Front Runner Formula isn’t limited to turf. In fact, it often works even better on the All-Weather. On tracks like Lingfield, Chelmsford and Kempton, the consistent surfaces and predictable pace biases make front-running strategies especially profitable. Some courses, like Southwell, demand a little more caution, but inside the PDF you’ll discover exactly where this system thrives.

That means more qualifiers, more opportunities, and more chances to capitalise on an edge the betting public is still ignoring.

Below are some broken down stats from C&D we use.

Kempton
Kempton 6f
The slightly shorter 6f trip. 21.2% of all races over this track and range have been won by the front-runner(s), and if you had backed them pre-race at £1 level stakes using your crystal ball, this would have turned a profit of £99.05 (ROI +30.6%).

Kempton 7f
Over 7f at the Sunbury-on-Thames track front-runners have won 56 of the 289 races which equates to 19.4% of the sample. Hold up horses have won one more, giving them a total of 57 winning races (19.7%). However, on average there have been three to four hold up horses in each race (actual average for Kempton 7f = 3.54), whereas front-runners have (led or contested the lead) averaged 1.23 runners per race. This means that an individual front-runner has been nearly three times as likely to win as an individual hold up horse.
Lingfield
Lingfield 6f
At Lingfield over six furlongs, just over 20% of all races have been won by the front-runner(s). If, pre-race, you had predicted the early leader(s) in every qualifying 6f handicap you would have made a profit to SP of £65.05 to £1 level stakes. This equates to returns of just over 25 pence in the £
Chelmsford
Chelmsford 6f
These are the highest figures seen so far for front-runners on both of these two metrics. Also, the hold-up numbers are extremely low in comparison. Front-runners have a significant edge at this trip winning a quarter (25%) of all races. Essentially an individual front-runner has been 3.6 times more likely to win than an individual hold up horse.
Not only are the win stats powerful for front-runners but the each way stats are extremely strong for this CD as well. If able to predict all front-runners’ pre-race one would have made a profit of £80.75 to £1 win bets, equating to returns of just under 30p in the £. Betting front-runners each way, the profit would have stood at a highly impressive £150.93.

Chelmsford 7f
Nearly 30% of the horses drawn in the top third of the draw have won when they have taken the early lead. These runners have won 16 races from 54, with a further 14 finishing 2nd or 3rd. The long run to the first bend, which gives the whole field a chance to make the lead, may be a factor:
The last stat to share for this CD is that each individual front-runner has been 3.93 times more likely to win than an individual hold up horse. As the heat maps above show this disparity becomes more potent the wider the draw.

Chelmsford 1m
This is only time a mile race distance makes the list. Generally, the shorter the distance the stronger the front-running bias. Chelmsford is the only course to have four different distances in the top ten and is a very strong contender for the most front-runner favouring circuit.
Front-runners are clearly best across all metrics. They have won over 16% within their group, which due to the occasional race where two horses vie for the early lead, actually means that 20.6% of all races have been won by these pace setters. The A/E index of 1.30 is the highest we have seen so far

We have tracked every single qualifying bet this system has produced, below you can find:

Race Data

Summary Stats
Total Bets

Winners

Strike Rate (%)

SP Profit (pts)

BSP Profit (pts)

2% Compound Figures (£100)

Bet Number | SP Bank (2% of Bank - £100 Start) | BSP Bank (2% of Bank - £100 Start)

2% Compound Figures (£500)

Bet Number | SP Bank (2% of Bank - £500 Start) | BSP Bank (2% of Bank - £500 Start)

Contact information

Your name

Your first name

Your last name

Your email address

Verify your email address

Your business name

Phone no.

Billing address

State/region

Your street address

Your city

ZIP

State/region

ZIP

I agree to the terms and conditions

Yes, please send me marketing emails!

I agree to the refund & return policy.

BV - The Front Runner Formula£92

Contact information

Billing address

Payment information